The Forecast Card

All sports · Saturday, October 10

Card for Sat, Oct 10

Every bet our models make that day, across every sport, at the line it was set at. Simulated 1 unit a game, not betting advice.

Bets
50
Settled
30–20
Units
+7.34
By start Win chance Edge
All Open Settled
  1. NHL 1:00 PM ET
    PHI @ BOS BOS -148 Moneyline Set at line BOS 57.2% · model 64.6%
    65%win chance 57%market
    ✓ Won +0.68 PHI 1, BOS 5
  2. NHL 3:30 PM ET
    VAN @ NJD NJD -298 Moneyline Set at line NJD 71.8% · model 73.7%
    74%win chance 72%market
    ✓ Won +0.34 VAN 1, NJD 4
  3. NHL 4:00 PM ET
    EDM @ SJS SJS +130 Moneyline Set at line SJS 41.7% · model 42.5%
    43%win chance 42%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 EDM 3, SJS 1
  4. NHL 6:00 PM ET
    MIN @ FLA MIN +114 Moneyline Set at line MIN 44.9% · model 46.6%
    47%win chance 45%market
    ✓ Won +1.14 MIN 4, FLA 1
  5. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    UTA @ BUF BUF -108 Moneyline Set at line BUF 49.6% · model 51.9%
    52%win chance 50%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 UTA 4, BUF 1
  6. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    DET @ MTL DET +164 Moneyline Set at line DET 36.3% · model 48.1%
    48%win chance 36%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 DET 0, MTL 1
  7. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    NSH @ OTT OTT -162 Moneyline Set at line OTT 59.3% · model 66.5%
    67%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 NSH 2, OTT 3
  8. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    DAL @ PIT PIT +150 Moneyline Set at line PIT 38.4% · model 43.1%
    43%win chance 38%market
    ✓ Won +1.50 DAL 1, PIT 2
  9. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    CBJ @ STL CBJ +105 Moneyline Set at line CBJ 46.8% · model 50.1%
    50%win chance 47%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 CBJ 3, STL 5
  10. NHL 7:00 PM ET
    TOR @ COL COL -218 Moneyline Set at line COL 65.7% · model 68.8%
    69%win chance 66%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TOR 6, COL 3
  11. NHL 7:30 PM ET
    TBL @ NYI NYI +142 Moneyline Set at line NYI 39.6% · model 45.4%
    45%win chance 40%market
    ✗ Lost -1.00 TBL 5, NYI 3
  12. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    ANA @ CGY ANA -122 Moneyline Set at line ANA 52.6% · model 58.5%
    58%win chance 53%market
    ✓ Won +0.82 ANA 4, CGY 2
  13. NHL 10:00 PM ET
    LAK @ VGK VGK -162 Moneyline Set at line VGK 59.3% · model 66.8%
    67%win chance 59%market
    ✓ Won +0.62 LAK 1, VGK 2

Win chance is the model's chance the bet wins: its win probability for a moneyline, and for a spread its chance to cover, sized from how far its margins have missed over the last 30 days. Market is the same chance from the prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. Edge is the gap between the two, in points.